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February 2024 Market Insights by Dr. James Thorne: Echoes of History and Financial Markets in a Post-Pandemic World

Market Insights

TRUMP’S SHADOW:
Echoes of History and Financial Markets in a Post-Pandemic World

As we enter a presidential election year in the U.S., financial markets are resonating with historical echoes. One can particularly recognize the rise of populism after the Civil War, which parallels today’s socio-political dynamics. This comparison challenges the conventional wisdom about investing in a world that is constantly evolving. Concomitantly, there are parallels to the post-Second World War era, notably the extreme levels of debt which rival only today. As the war ended and life got back to normal, a growth scare and deflation resulted. Hence my thesis that our transition period out of COVID-19 has all the earmarks of a transitional period of secular stagnation and deflation.

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