{"id":2561,"date":"2025-04-07T21:21:58","date_gmt":"2025-04-07T21:21:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/?p=2561"},"modified":"2025-04-07T21:21:58","modified_gmt":"2025-04-07T21:21:58","slug":"food-for-thought-a-weaker-canadian-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/2025\/04\/07\/food-for-thought-a-weaker-canadian-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Food for Thought: A Weaker Canadian Dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.5pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.25pt\">The Canadian dollar\u2019s (CAD) weakness has raised questions about its broader impact and the path forward:<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.5pt\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 12pt\"><b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.45pt\">The CAD is trading below its historical average. <\/span><\/b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.45pt\">To start 2025, it fell below 68 U.S. cents\u2014a level not seen in two decades. The decline has been driven by factors such as diverging U.S. and Canadian monetary policies (lower interest rates make the CAD less attractive to foreign investors), ongoing tariff threats and a strong U.S. dollar. Historically, the CAD has moved in cycles. From 2005 to 2014, it benefitted from strong resource demand, surpassing parity with the U.S. dollar (USD) in 2007 and peaking at US$1.09. Over 50 years, it has averaged around US$0.80.<sup>1<\/sup> <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.5pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.45pt\"> <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2563 \" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Historical-Exchange-Rate-1024x347.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"655\" height=\"222\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Historical-Exchange-Rate-1024x347.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Historical-Exchange-Rate-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Historical-Exchange-Rate-768x260.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Historical-Exchange-Rate-1536x520.png 1536w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Historical-Exchange-Rate.png 1560w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 655px) 100vw, 655px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.5pt\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 12pt\"><b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.4pt\">Will the loonie continue its fall? <\/span><\/b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.4pt\">The \u201c<i>Big Mac Index<\/i>\u201d may offer some fun \u201cfood for thought.\u201d Published by <\/span><b><i><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.4pt\">The Economist<\/span><\/i><\/b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.4pt\">, it was developed as a lighthearted way to make exchange-rate theory digestible by comparing the purchasing power parity (PPP) of currencies. PPP suggests that, over time, exchange rates should adjust so that an identical basket of goods and services costs the same in each country. The index estimates an exchange rate by comparing the price of a Big Mac in different nations to its cost in the U.S. By comparing this to the prevailing exchange rate, it gauges whether a currency is under- or overvalued. According to the index, the CAD is undervalued (chart).<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2562 \" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Big-Mac-Index-1024x370.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"651\" height=\"235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Big-Mac-Index-1024x370.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Big-Mac-Index-300x108.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Big-Mac-Index-768x278.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Big-Mac-Index-1536x555.png 1536w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Big-Mac-Index.png 1593w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 651px) 100vw, 651px\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.5pt\"><span style=\"font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;font-size: 12pt\"><b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.4pt\">What does this mean for investors?<\/span><\/b><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.4pt\"> Currency swings can impact returns on foreign-denominated investments when converted to Canadian dollars. A notable example occurred between 2000 and 2009\u2014a period with parallels to today. At the start of 2000, U.S. equity markets were at record highs amid the dot-com boom, while the CAD traded below 70 cents USD. If an investor put CAD into the S&amp;P 500 Index in early 2000, they would have experienced a loss\u2014not just due to the market downturn, but also due to currency appreciation. By December 2009, the S&amp;P 500 declined by 24.1 percent, but over the same period, the CAD appreciated by 38 percent. When converting investments back to CAD, the loss would have been 45 percent.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.5pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: arial, helvetica, sans-serif;color: #485865;letter-spacing: -0.45pt\">Over the long run, currency fluctuations tend to even out in well-diversified global portfolios, as gains in one currency can offset losses in another. There are also ways to mitigate currency risk directly, depending on an investor\u2019s objectives, such as by using currency-hedged investment funds or Canadian Depository Receipts, which allow investors to buy foreign stocks on Canadian exchanges in CAD.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-2564 \" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Investing-1000-1024x352.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"599\" height=\"206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Investing-1000-1024x352.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Investing-1000-300x103.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Investing-1000-768x264.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/35\/2025\/04\/Investing-1000.png 1215w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 599px) 100vw, 599px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Canadian dollar\u2019s (CAD) weakness has raised questions about its broader impact and the path forward: The CAD is trading below its historical average. To start 2025, it fell below 68 U.S. cents\u2014a level not seen in two decades. The decline has been driven by factors such as diverging U.S. and Canadian monetary policies (lower [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":129,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Food for Thought: A Weaker Canadian Dollar - Cresco Wealth Management<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/2025\/04\/07\/food-for-thought-a-weaker-canadian-dollar\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Food for Thought: A Weaker Canadian Dollar - Cresco Wealth Management\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Canadian dollar\u2019s (CAD) weakness has raised questions about its broader impact and the path forward: The CAD is trading below its historical average. 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