{"id":4300,"date":"2026-04-01T09:11:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T13:11:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/?p=4300"},"modified":"2026-03-31T15:26:29","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T19:26:29","slug":"shifting-global-order-investment-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/2026\/04\/01\/shifting-global-order-investment-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"The Shifting (Global) Order"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.25pt\">We are living through a period of shifting order. Global alliances are outwardly frayed, old rules have been bent, and new ones are being formed. As Prime Minister Carney reminded the world in January: \u201c<i>The old order is not coming back. We shouldn\u2019t mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy<\/i>.\u201d<sup>1<\/sup><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">Indeed, the shifts appear to be more rapid, with a near-constant stream of geopolitical surprises that have become almost routine. Amid shifting U.S. trade and tariff measures, evolving foreign policy and even war, uncertainty has grown and global conflict has widened. Even before recent events, there was a notable flight to safety in precious metals while the U.S. dollar declined. These defensive trades prompted some to ask once again: Is gold becoming the global reserve currency? <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">For now, they reflect a world placing greater focus on sovereign resource security and geopolitical insulation. Of course, geopolitics and economics remain intrinsically intertwined: while geopolitics explains how global leaders interact with their counterparts, economics can influence, and more importantly, constrain, their ambitions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">As events continue to reshape the global order, oil prices have spiked, renewing inflation worries. Over recent months, there have been broader shifts in markets. Technology stocks, long the market\u2019s darlings, have faced pressure despite many posting solid earnings. Elevated capital spending has continued to draw scrutiny, even though returns on such investments can take years to materialize. Concerns about artificial intelligence\u2019s potential to disrupt have also extended across sectors.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">There has also been a rotation toward more undervalued market sectors. The Dow, considered by some young investors as \u201c<i>about as relevant as paper stock certificates or ticker tape<\/i>,\u201d outperformed the S&amp;P 500 and NASDAQ to start the year, prompting headlines like \u201c<i>Boring is Back<\/i>.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.45pt\">Meanwhile, amid all of these shifts, some order emerged: the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that invoking tariffs under the Emergency Economic Powers Act was not legal. Although not expected to change the current administration\u2019s approach, its clear legal boundaries augur well for the future. Nevertheless, uncertainty remains as renegotiations for the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) draw near. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">While the skies may appear cloudier for Canada\u2019s economic prospects as a middle power, our position shouldn\u2019t be underestimated: an energy superpower with vast natural resources, abundant fresh water, three coastlines, the world\u2019s most-educated population and political stability. We have undoubtedly been dependent on the U.S., given our close proximity. Even so, an Oxford Economics analysis suggests that a full USMCA collapse would reduce Canada\u2019s GDP by about 1.8 percent below baseline and cut private investment by 6 to 7 percent.<sup>2<\/sup> By comparison, the early 1980s recession, driven by high inflation and high interest rates, saw output fall by 5 percent and unemployment reach 12 percent, a reminder that Canada has endured far more severe shocks and recovered. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">Against this shifting backdrop, the growing dispersion we see today rewards a thoughtful and selective investment management approach. At a time when uncertainty feels amplified and global policy-making remains volatile, discipline becomes increasingly important, particularly when the range of possible outcomes is wide. The constant shifts should also remind us that no cycle, policy regime or market trend is ever permanent, reinforcing the importance of maintaining a longer-term view. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.2pt\"><a href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/crescowealthmanagement\/\">As advisors<\/a>, <\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.2pt\">we are here to help you navigate this shifting order. We<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.2pt\">\u00a0continue to monitor the evolving global situation. If you have questions or concerns, please don\u2019t hesitate to reach out. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.2pt\">Wishing you warmer days ahead.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 4.3pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 8pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.3pt\">1. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.weforum.org\/meetings\/world-economic-forum-annual-meeting-2026\/\">World Economic Forum, Davos, January 2026.<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"BasicParagraph\" style=\"margin-top: 3.6pt\"><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 8pt;line-height: 120%;font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;color: #282829;letter-spacing: -0.35pt\">2.<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/usmca-scenarios-north-american-trade-at-a-crossroads\/\"> https:\/\/www.oxfordeconomics.com\/resource\/usmca-scenarios-north-american-trade-at-a-crossroads\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We are living through a period of shifting order. Global alliances are outwardly frayed, old rules have been bent, and new ones are being formed. As Prime Minister Carney reminded the world in January: \u201cThe old order is not coming back. We shouldn\u2019t mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy.\u201d1 Indeed, the shifts appear to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":310,"featured_media":4015,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"2normal","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Shifting Global Order and What It Means for Investors<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Global geopolitics are reshaping markets, inflation and strategy. 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