{"id":489,"date":"2024-01-22T12:00:42","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T12:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/?p=489"},"modified":"2025-05-15T14:48:02","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:48:02","slug":"own-goals-oh-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/own-goals-oh-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"Good News! Own Goals – Oh Canada!"},"content":{"rendered":"

France’s striker Antoine Griezmann lofted the free kick into Croatia’s penalty box.\u00a0 Players of both teams jumped to defend or to head in the free kick. One player rose higher than the others, heading the ball just over the head of the Croatian goal keeper and into the top corner of the net.\u00a0 Mario Mandzukic’s goal put France ahead of Croatia and helped them secure the 2018 World Cup.\u00a0 There was just one problem – Mandzukic played for Croatia!<\/p>\n

Own goals are a surprisingly common feature of soccer – but few are as consequential as Mandzukic’s.\u00a0 Hockey\u00a0too has its share of own goals.\u00a0 As it turns out, so does economics.\u00a0 National Bank economists are out with a shocking report (https:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/content\/dam\/bnc\/taux-analyses\/analyse-eco\/etude-speciale\/special-report_240115.pdf<\/a>) on what they describe\u00a0as Canada’s own goal.\u00a0 They call it the “Population Trap”.\u00a0 Let’s dig in.<\/p>\n

Canada’s own goal – What is the “Population Trap”?<\/strong><\/h3>\n

A population trap happens when a fast-growing population uses up all the extra money in an economy just to keep things running as they are. This means there’s no extra money left to make things better for each worker. Even if the economy has more money overall, the amount of money and resources for each worker doesn’t increase and can actually decrease.\u00a0 Think of it this way – if all the money needs to be spent to build more housing, how will businesses grow and\u00a0Canadian\u00a0productivity increase? The result is a declining standard of living, unaffordable housing and a stressed healthcare system.<\/p>\n

\"a<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.nbc.ca\/content\/dam\/bnc\/taux-analyses\/analyse-eco\/etude-speciale\/special-report_240115.pdf<\/p>\n

Wondering how it’s come to this?\u00a0 Canada’s population grew by more than five times the OECD average in 2023 – increasing by 3.2% compared to the OECD average of 0.6%.\u00a0 Incredible.\u00a0 Canada added another 1.2 million people in 2023 – worsening the housing and healthcare shortage.\u00a0 These shortages will require many years of intense spending to remedy.<\/p>\n

Oh Canada! Investment outlook dims<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Canadians\u00a0agree that immigration is a good thing – but like all good things, extreme doses come with side effects.\u00a0 This isn’t a political commentary – as investors, our task is to assess the implications of the political decisions on our portfolios.\u00a0 Patriotism aside, let’s be honest, a country that has declining real per capita income may not be an ideal investment target.<\/p>\n

Global Opportunities Abound<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Fortunately, Canadian investors have investment options outside our borders.\u00a0 This chart is a reminder that prioritizing Canadian investments over US has been a losing bet in recent years.\u00a0 I’m bullish on third party managed mutual funds that focus on Global and International opportunities as well.<\/p>\n

\"S&P-TSX-60-vs-S&P-500-chart\"<\/p>\n

source: YCharts<\/p>\n

I take no joy in passing along this information.\u00a0 The Croatian fans groaned when\u00a0 Mandzukic scored on his own net, but then cheered their team on despite it.\u00a0 We need to do the same.\u00a0 Canada has dug itself a hole – it will take time for\u00a0us to recover.\u00a0 Until then we can hope our leaders will eventually learn the first rule of holes – stop digging!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

France’s striker Antoine Griezmann lofted the free kick into Croatia’s penalty box.\u00a0 Players of both teams jumped to defend or to head in the free kick.\u00a0 One player rose higher than the others, heading the ball just over the head of the Croatian goal keeper and into the top corner of the net.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":193,"featured_media":490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[400,404,20],"class_list":["post-489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights-news","tag-global-markets","tag-government-policy-economic-impact","tag-wealth-management"],"yoast_head":"\nOwn Goals - Oh Canada! - Evans Family Wealth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Canada\u2019s population growth has led to a \u201cPopulation Trap,\u201d leaving little room for economic progress and affecting housing and healthcare. 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