{"id":538,"date":"2023-11-01T12:00:55","date_gmt":"2023-11-01T12:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/?p=538"},"modified":"2025-05-15T14:50:50","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:50:50","slug":"winstons-dogs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/winstons-dogs\/","title":{"rendered":"Good News! Winston’s Dogs"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Winston<\/p>\n

Photo: Life Magazine<\/p>\n

On June 19th, 1940, Paris surrendered to the advancing Germans.\u00a0 The City of Lights dimmed under Nazi occupation.\u00a0 The news of France’s armistice with Germany rocked Britons.\u00a0 The long feared German invasion now seemed imminent. The survival of the great island nation rested on the stooped shoulders of a portly, cigar chomping man.\u00a0 Winston Churchill may have been portrayed as an English BullDog in the press but in truth, while he had two dogs, neither was a BullDog.<\/p>\n

Winston Churchill had a black dog and brown dog.\u00a0 The brown dog was a miniature poodle named Rufus.\u00a0 Rufus and Churchill were inseparable. The dog frequently sat on a chair at the dinner table, eating off fine china beside his master.\u00a0 He accompanied Winston to the war room and across England.\u00a0 The black dog also followed Churchill like a shadow – but it was neither friendly nor welcome.<\/p>\n

Churchill called his frequent bouts with depression his “Black Dog”.\u00a0 Investors might be able to relate, especially at this time of year.\u00a0 Late fall and early winter brings shorter days, longer nights and the winter blues.\u00a0 Seasonal Affectiveness Disorder is more prevalent in northern latitudes affecting almost 10x as many residents of New Hampshire as Florida (don’t even ask about Ottawa) further blackens the outlook.\u00a0 Perhaps that’s part of the reason the stock market tends to swoon in October as the chart below shows:<\/p>\n

\"s&p<\/p>\n

source:\u00a0https:\/\/charts.equityclock.com\/sp-500-index-seasonal-chart<\/a><\/p>\n

Finding the Good News<\/span><\/h2>\n

Do you ever think that people who aren’t at least a little depressed with the state of the world just aren’t paying attention?\u00a0\ud83d\ude00\u00a0\u00a0Let’s be honest, wars, inflation and ever increasing interest rates have the market struggling (and more importantly investors) for the second consecutive year.\u00a0 It’s not just you.<\/p>\n

The Black Dog of bad news is ubiquitous.\u00a0 Finding Good News requires a little more effort, that’s the bar I set for myself when I write.\u00a0 You don’t need me to find bad news!\u00a0 Good News is like my golden retriever Rumble, putting his head on my leg to get a scratch behind the ear.\u00a0 He just brings a smile to your face.\u00a0 Here’s how I found him yesterday – just a big ‘ole pile of fur!\u00a0 I hardly knew which end was which!<\/p>\n

\"Rumble\"<\/p>\n

Oh there he is — so elegant!<\/p>\n

\"Rumble\"<\/p>\n

Resilience in Leadership and Investing<\/span><\/h2>\n

What does this have to do with investing?\u00a0 More than you might think.\u00a0 Despite Winston’s Black Dog, he summoned his energy and provided the leadership his country needed (maybe with a little help from Rufus).\u00a0 At a time of existential anxiety and uncertainty he projected calm and assurance even when he didn’t feel it himself.\u00a0 Investors sometimes have to do the same – especially when times are tough.<\/p>\n

Here’s the truth, in our investment career, France will fall, wars will be fought, crises and recessions will come and go.\u00a0 Sadly, some investors will fall victim to the negativity and capitulate.\u00a0 It is always so.\u00a0 Zoom out and consider the long term performance of the S&P 500 for the past 100 years:<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

The Value of Optimism in Capitalism<\/span><\/h2>\n

Churchill said that “Democracy is the worst form of government except for all the others.”\u00a0 If he\u00a0were talking about investing he might have said: “Capitalism is the worst form of economic system, except for all the others.”\u00a0 The reason that optimistic investors triumph in the end is that capitalism has triumphed in the end.\u00a0 That’s the Good News – optimists win.\u00a0 We will too.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Glen<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Photo: Life Magazine On June 19th, 1940, Paris surrendered to the advancing Germans.\u00a0 The City of Lights dimmed under Nazi occupation.\u00a0 The news of France’s armistice with Germany rocked Britons.\u00a0 The long feared German invasion now seemed imminent. The survival of the great island nation rested on the stooped shoulders of a portly, cigar chomping […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":193,"featured_media":539,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[53,402,20],"class_list":["post-538","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights-news","tag-inflation","tag-investor-behaviour","tag-wealth-management"],"yoast_head":"\nWinston's Dogs - Investing Optimism - Evans Family Wealth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Winston Churchill\u2019s leadership during WWII offers valuable lessons for investors. Despite personal struggles with depression, he projected optimism. 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