{"id":637,"date":"2023-10-11T12:00:04","date_gmt":"2023-10-11T12:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/?p=637"},"modified":"2025-05-15T14:53:20","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:53:20","slug":"investment-lessons-from-il-gigante","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/investment-lessons-from-il-gigante\/","title":{"rendered":"Good News! Investment Lessons from Il Gigante"},"content":{"rendered":"

Il Gigante, twice discarded due to its flaws and awkward\u00a0shape, lay like a washed up carcass on a beach – a 19 meter Carrara marble whale.\u00a0 \u00a0Quarried\u00a0in 1464, and transported to Florence, Il Gigante (the Giant), stymied the best efforts of early sculptors.\u00a0 While massive, it tapered to the top and was shallow, thwarting the design intents of artists.\u00a0 For forty years Il Gigante lay in the work yard of the Florence Cathedral – the marble problem child – the washed up whale.<\/p>\n

In 1501, the guild responsible for the\u00a0construction of the Florence Cathedral, decided to commission a series of statues for the buttresses of the Duomo.\u00a0 The most important was to be David and it was to be constructed from Il Gigante.\u00a0 Michelangelo, who had recently completed the astonishing Pieta in Rome’s St. Peter’s Basilica was granted the commission at the tender age of 26.\u00a0 Two years later, like Jonah, his masterpiece David was freed from the whale.<\/p>\n

\"Michelangelo's<\/p>\n

Michelangelo’s Pieta source:\u00a0https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Piet%C3%A0_(Michelangelo)#\/media\/File:Pieta_de_Michelangelo_-_Vaticano.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n

He approached the work differently from artists of the day – working\u00a0with<\/u><\/em>\u00a0the stone rather than forcing his vision upon it.\u00a0 By turning David’s head to the side, he overcame the shallowness of the Il Gigante.\u00a0 By posing David with his weight on his right leg, he was able to maximize what the marble whale offered.\u00a0According to Giorgio Vasari, a contemporary and his first biographer, Michelangelo claimed that he saw David within the block and merely needed to free him.<\/p>\n

\"Michelangelo's<\/p>\n

Michelangelo’s David source:\u00a0https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/David_(Michelangelo)#\/media\/File:Michelangelo’s_David_-_right_view_2.jpg<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Investors Don’t Get to Pick the Stone<\/strong><\/p>\n

To free David, Michelangelo had to work within the limits imposed by the reality of Il Gigante.\u00a0 He wasn’t working with a “blank sheet”.\u00a0 The stone was imperfect, previously worked and awkwardly shaped.\u00a0 His genius was working within its limits.\u00a0 That seems like an apt metaphor for life and for investing.\u00a0 You and I aren’t given a blank sheet in life or investing.\u00a0 The investment world your parents had success in has changed.\u00a0 To succeed, we’ll have to work within the limitations of the block of marble we’re chipping away at.<\/p>\n

For instance, for the past 40 years interest rates have trended lower.\u00a0 That has created a benign investment landscape that has favoured a “buy and hold” strategy and rewarded dividend paying investors.\u00a0 Now that interest rates appear to have bottomed, that strategy may not work as well.\u00a0 Think of this as a deep crack in the marble the next generation is sculpting into their retirement plan masterpiece.\u00a0 Like Michelangelo, investors are going to have to change their plans to accommodate\u00a0this reality.<\/p>\n

Portfolio Managers and Investors Have to See What Others Miss<\/strong><\/p>\n

It’s no secret that rising interest rates have negatively impacted utilities, banks and telecom\u00a0companies in Canada.\u00a0 We’ve catalogued in prior issues just how far some of these giants have fallen.\u00a0 Instead of recounting the losses, let’s consider how these Il Gigantes have responded to prior periods of steep losses.\u00a0 To do that, I used software that I’ve had custom built to examine how the share prices have performed in the two years following prior periods of weakness.\u00a0 These Average 2-year Returns exclude the high current dividends these securities are paying.\u00a0 To be clear, we can’t be certain that history will repeat – but we can hope it rhymes.<\/p>\n

\"ycharts1\"<\/p>\n

I’m no Michelangelo, but when I look at these “Il Gigantes” I see substantial opportunity buried inside.\u00a0 True, the change in the trend of interest rates is likely to cap some of the upside in these securities compared to historical precedents and we can’t assume that past performance will inform future performance, but step back and look!\u00a0 Take it in from multiple angles.\u00a0 This block, discarded by today’s investors, has value inside.<\/p>\n

Risks continue to abound – there could be flaws beneath the surface that we can’t see right now.\u00a0 Recession could be a deep crack – but our job hasn’t changed – as investors our task is to pick up our hammer and chisel and to “free” our David.<\/p>\n

Glen<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Il Gigante, twice discarded due to its flaws and awkward\u00a0shape, lay like a washed up carcass on a beach – a 19 meter Carrara marble whale.\u00a0 \u00a0Quarried\u00a0in 1464, and transported to Florence, Il Gigante (the Giant), stymied the best efforts of early sculptors.\u00a0 While massive, it tapered to the top and was shallow, thwarting the design intents of artists.\u00a0 For forty years Il Gigante lay in the work yard of the Florence Cathedral – the marble problem child – the washed up whale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":193,"featured_media":638,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[398,109,20],"class_list":["post-637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights-news","tag-financial-sector","tag-risk-management","tag-wealth-management"],"yoast_head":"\nInvestment Lessons from Il Gigante - Evans Family Wealth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Michelangelo saw David in a flawed block of marble. 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