{"id":812,"date":"2023-07-06T12:00:20","date_gmt":"2023-07-06T12:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/?p=812"},"modified":"2025-05-15T14:57:07","modified_gmt":"2025-05-15T14:57:07","slug":"lessons-from-science-for-investors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/evansfamilywealth\/lessons-from-science-for-investors\/","title":{"rendered":"Good News! Einstein’s Error: Lessons from Science for Investors"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Enlightenment and the Shifting View of Creation<\/span><\/h2>\n

In the\u00a0castle of the Enlightenment, the door between faith and science had stood open since the middle ages.\u00a0 Philosophers oiled the rusted hinges of the massive portal, led by Scottish Philosopher David Hume, who argued in 1779 that creation had no need of a creator.\u00a0 Hume’s contemporary, Immanuel Kant, similarly proposed the idea of an eternal, self-existent universe, giving further momentum to the shift away from a creator-centric understanding\u00a0– no creator needed thanks! Together, their groundbreaking ideas pushed against the old door and began closing it despite the groans and squeals from its ancient hinges.<\/p>\n

\"a<\/p>\n

The Big Bang and the Expanding Universe<\/span><\/h2>\n

Charles Darwin kicked the door shut with\u00a0his magnum opus On the Origin of the Species written 70 years later in 1859.\u00a0 Not only was the transcendent not necessary for the creation of the universe, it was redundant for the evolution\u00a0of living things.\u00a0 Natural selection and time was all that was required – and an infinitely old universe provided plenty of time.\u00a0 Atheists Sigmund Freud and Karl Marx slid the deadbolt home and in 1882 Neitzche hung the sign on the door that read “God is Dead”.<\/p>\n

Cosmologists like Einstein sat back relieved that the hulking door was finally shut – even if a little light came in the\u00a0bottom.\u00a0 Einstein got to work on his 1917 paper the Theory of Relativity in which he assumed a static universe – so confident was he that he “fudged” his cosmological constant to make his equations balance in a static universe.\u00a0 While the door remained firmly shut, that light seeping in from below was getting brighter – and strangely it had a red hue.<\/p>\n

Edwin Hubble (of the Hubble Space Telescope) peered through the most powerful telescope of his\u00a0day, the 100 inch telescope\u00a0on top of Mount Wilson, puzzling over the distinct red hue of light emitted from distant galaxies when he realized that the red hue was explained by the fact that galaxies Hubble was viewing were in fact\u00a0moving away from us!\u00a0 Hubble’s genius was in realizing that distant galaxies were moving away from us faster than nearer galaxies – in other words the universe was expanding.\u00a0 More importantly, was the reflection that followed: if the universe was expanding, at some distant point in the distant past the space between the galaxies must have been zero.<\/p>\n

\"the<\/p>\n

The Big Bang<\/p>\n

Einstein’s Greatest Blunder<\/span><\/h2>\n

The Big Bang theory arrived on the cosmology scene as welcome as the 1918 Flu but far less infectious.\u00a0 While Einstein wasn’t happy about this development, his colleague, British astronomer Arthur Eddington despaired, “Philosophically, the notion of\u00a0a beginning\u00a0of the present order is repugnant to me…I should like to find a genuine loophole, I simply do not believe the present order of things started\u00a0off with a bang.\u00a0 The expanding Universe is preposterous…It leaves me cold.”<\/p>\n

\"Einstein<\/p>\n

Einstein\u00a0and Hubble on Mount Wilson<\/p>\n

In 1931 Einstein visited Hubble on Mount Wilson, and saw the light (the red light).\u00a0 He graciously concluded: “New observations by Hubble and Hamason concerning\u00a0the red shift of light in distant nebulae”, establish that “the\u00a0general structure of the universe\u00a0is not static”.\u00a0 “The red shift of the distant nebulae has smashed my old construction like a hammer blow.” It also meant that his fudged “cosmological constant” was, as he put it, the “greatest blunder of my life”.\u00a0 What refreshing candour and humility from one of the geniuses of our time!<\/p>\n

\"The<\/p>\n

The Door is Reopened<\/p>\n

The Parallels Between Science and Investing<\/span><\/h2>\n

Quite simply, the Big Bang theory kicked that old door open and brought the issue of origins of the universe back into doubt and once again allowed for the possibility of a creator in the creation story. No, Einstein and other scientists of the day weren’t happy about it – but they knew better than to ignore or deride the new developments – they were, after all, scientists and they recognized that science is never settled.<\/p>\n

For me, Einstein’s story stands in stark contrast to the current\u00a0“science is\u00a0settled”,\u00a0<\/em>anti-scientific mantra we keep hearing from people who purport to be scientists. The irony of living in the information age is that we have politicized science and find ourselves in a world that prefers soundbites to true scientific debate.\u00a0 In a sense we choose faith over reason.<\/p>\n

Recently, pollsters discovered that a majority of Americans no longer support the First Amendment and believe that the government should restrict “false information online”.\u00a0 To which any reasonable person should ask, “exactly who gets to determine what information is true”?\u00a0 source: https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2023\/07\/20\/most-americans-favor-restrictions-on-false-information-violent-content-online\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Embracing Optimism and Progress<\/span><\/h2>\n

‘Einstein’s Error’ underscores an enduring truth: both our understanding of the cosmos and the investment landscape is a constant journey, not a static snapshot. Certainty can blind us to novel insights, much like Einstein’s initial error and denial of an expanding universe.<\/p>\n

Finance has its share of misplaced beliefs as well.\u00a0 Our ‘Einstein Errors’ could be the beliefs we see as unshakable today\u2014 the preeminence of passive investing, the safety of government bonds, or the dominance of value over growth investing. But like Einstein’s static universe, these beliefs may one day be upended.<\/p>\n

So what is certain?\u00a0 What can investors believe in?\u00a0 For me, scientific progress, entrepreneurial ingenuity and human resilience are certainties.\u00a0 Seen through the lens of these traits, our current problems are tomorrow’s opportunities.\u00a0 This isn’t to minimize the problems we face, but it is a reminder that optimism is a rational belief to hold despite them.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Glen<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

ps: I encountered this fascinating history in ‘The Return of the God Hypothesis,’ a contentious new book by Stephen Meyer, an Oxford-trained philosopher of science and geophysicist. I highly recommend it – but only to open-minded readers!<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In the\u00a0castle of the Enlightenment, the door between faith and science had stood open since the middle ages.\u00a0 Philosophers oiled the rusted hinges of the massive portal, led by Scottish Philosopher David Hume, who argued in 1779 that creation had no need of a creator.\u00a0 Hume’s contemporary, Immanuel Kant, similarly proposed the idea of an eternal, self-existent universe, giving further momentum to the shift away from a creator-centric understanding<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":193,"featured_media":813,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[93],"tags":[109,394,20],"class_list":["post-812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-insights-news","tag-risk-management","tag-technology-innovation","tag-wealth-management"],"yoast_head":"\nEinstein's Error: Lessons from Science for Investors - Evans Family Wealth<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Einstein's greatest blunder in cosmology mirrors the investment world\u2019s potential misconceptions. 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