{"id":807,"date":"2025-06-30T09:00:38","date_gmt":"2025-06-30T09:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stonehavenprivatecounsel\/?p=807"},"modified":"2026-09-04T17:11:11","modified_gmt":"2026-09-04T17:11:11","slug":"q2-2025-portfolio-commentary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stonehavenprivatecounsel\/q2-2025-portfolio-commentary\/","title":{"rendered":"Q2 2025 Portfolio Commentary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">The second quarter of 2025 proved to be one of the more volatile in recent memory, marked by swift sell-offs, strong recoveries, and geopolitical shocks. Through it all, our disciplined, active approach has once again demonstrated its value, allowing us to protect capital, capitalize on dislocations, and enhance overall portfolio performance.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Quarter in Review<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">April began with sharp market turbulence following\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">President Donald Trump\u2019s declaration of \u201cLiberation Day\u201d<\/span><\/strong>\u2014a politically charged response to trade tensions with Canada and Mexico. The announcement triggered a\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">global equity market correction exceeding 10%<\/span><\/strong>, compounding pressure from the Q1 trade war.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">Thanks to our\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">defensive positioning<\/span><\/strong>, portfolios were insulated from much of this downside. This provided us with the opportunity to trim some of those protective holdings and\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">purchase high-quality assets at a discount<\/span><\/strong>\u2014a strategy that proved timely as markets quickly rebounded.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">By early May, equity markets had recovered to pre-selloff levels and continued their rally into June,\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">reaching new all-time highs by quarter-end<\/span><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Tactical Moves and Highlights<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Energy Exposure:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Energy played a significant role in both\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">portfolio protection and profit generation<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0this quarter. Following U.S. military action in Iran and broader Middle East escalation, energy prices surged.\u00a0Our energy exposure was actively managed\u2014<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">added to in early <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">March, trimmed at month-end, re-added in April, and partially exited in late June<\/span><\/strong>\u2014monetizing volatility and providing meaningful returns.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Commodity Adjustments:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>We refined our broader commodity allocation by reducing energy and\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">increasing exposure to base and precious metals<\/span><\/strong>, including gold and critical minerals tied to industrial and military use.\u00a0\u00a0Gold, in particular, was introduced to\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">bolster inflation resilience<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0and as a hedge against rapid interest rate reductions globally.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Fixed Income:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Performance was muted as a portion of our holdings are USD-denominated, and the U.S. dollar weakened by nearly 5% vs. the Canadian dollar in Q2\u2014largely due to the market\u2019s reaction to U.S. trade and fiscal policy.\u00a0\u00a0That said, our fixed income portfolio remains focused on\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">high-quality, investment-grade and government debt<\/span><\/strong>, emphasizing consistency and capital preservation in uncertain markets.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Ongoing Rebalancing &amp; Private Markets:\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Our\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">active rebalancing<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0across both public and private investments continues to be a major contributor to performance.\u00a0\u00a0Considering future actions, we have:<\/p>\n<div class=\"ul\" style=\"margin: 0\">\n<div class=\"li\" style=\"margin: 0\">\n<div style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3;margin-left: 36pt\"><span style=\"display: inline-block;position: relative;text-indent: -18pt;font-size: 10pt\"><span style=\"position: absolute;top: -0.34em;left: 0;font-size: 2em\">\u2022<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Initiated the\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">redemption of a private real estate investment<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0no longer aligned with our forward outlook<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"li\" style=\"margin: 0\">\n<div style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3;margin-left: 36pt\"><span style=\"display: inline-block;position: relative;text-indent: -18pt;font-size: 10pt\"><span style=\"position: absolute;top: -0.34em;left: 0;font-size: 2em\">\u2022<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Finalized a new\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">private debt solution<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0to enhance income<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"li\" style=\"margin: 0\">\n<div style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3;margin-left: 36pt\"><span style=\"display: inline-block;position: relative;text-indent: -18pt;font-size: 10pt\"><span style=\"position: absolute;top: -0.34em;left: 0;font-size: 2em\">\u2022<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Anticipate the addition of a\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Music Royalties Fund<\/span><\/strong>, an uncorrelated, income-generating asset expected to be included in Q3<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Looking Ahead<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">We\u2019re encouraged by our results year-to-date. Our goal remains clear:\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">build resilient portfolios that thrive amid erratic trade and fiscal policy<\/span><\/strong>, while retaining exposure to long-term growth and maintaining key hedges against crisis scenarios.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">As always, we are here to support you through uncertain times. We recognize the immense trust you place in us, and we\u2019re grateful for it.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">If you know a\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">friend, family member, or colleague<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0who could benefit from the same level of care, guidance, and discipline, we would be honoured by your introduction.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">Lastly, if you haven\u2019t yet taken full advantage of our\u00a0<strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">comprehensive financial planning services<\/span><\/strong>, now is an excellent time to review your overall strategy to ensure all elements\u2014investments, taxes, estate planning, and more\u2014are working together to support your goals.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt\">Sincerely,<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong>The Team at Stonehaven Private Counsel<\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>About the Authors<\/strong><br \/>\nThis commentary was prepared by <strong>Jeff Sproul, PFP\u00ae, CIM\u00ae<\/strong>, <strong>Victor Kuntzevitsky, CFA, CAIA<\/strong>, and <strong>Grant Dawes, CIM\u00ae, CFP\u00ae, TEP<\/strong> of Stonehaven Private Counsel at Wellington-Altus Private Counsel. Together, they provide portfolio management and wealth planning guidance to <strong>business owners, executives, affluent families, retirees, and multi-generational wealth clients<\/strong>. <a href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stonehavenprivatecounsel\/meet-the-team\/\">Learn more<\/a> about their experience, credentials, and areas of expertise and <a href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stonehavenprivatecounsel\/who-we-serve\/\">explore how Stonehaven supports different client needs<\/a> through its work with <strong>business owners<\/strong>, <strong>retirees<\/strong>, <strong>professionals<\/strong>, <strong>families<\/strong>, and <strong>next-generation wealth clients<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\"><strong><span style=\"font-size: 11pt\">Stonehaven in the News<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">&#8220;While the overall TSX is performing strongly, we&#8217;re certainly seeing a divergence between sectors,&#8221; said Victor Kuntzevitsky, a portfolio manager at Stonehaven, Wellington-Altus Private Counsel.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/americas\/tsx-futures-edge-up-israel-iran-ceasefire-holds-2025-06-26\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color: #467886;font-size: 11pt\">TSX notches record high as metal mining shares climb | Reuters<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">\u00a0<span style=\"display: inline-block;height: 1em\"><span style=\"display: none\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 0pt;padding-top: 0;margin-bottom: 8pt;padding-bottom: 0;line-height: 1.3\">&#8220;As companies continue to grapple with the implications of tariffs and recalibrate their inventory strategies, alongside the inclination to delay capital expenditures, profit margins will likely face pressure,&#8221; said Victor Kuntzevitsky, a portfolio manager at Stonehaven Private Counsel, Wellington-Altus.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/tsxs-gains-set-slow-trade-war-hits-canadas-economy-2025-05-27\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color: #467886;font-size: 11pt\">TSX&#8217;s gains set to slow as trade war hits Canada&#8217;s economy | Reuters<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The material contained herein has been provided for information purposes only.\u00a0 The information has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable.\u00a0 Graphs, charts and other numbers are used for illustrative purposes only and do not reflect future values or future performance of any investment.\u00a0 The information does not provide financial, legal, tax or investment advice.\u00a0 Particular investment, tax, or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to each individual\u2019s objectives and risk tolerance.\u00a0 This does not constitute a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this document. \u00a0Wellington-Altus Private Counsel\u00a0 (WAPC) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, nor does WAPC assume any liability for any loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.\u00a0 Before acting on any of the above, please contact your financial advisor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The second quarter of 2025 proved to be one of the more volatile in recent memory, marked by swift sell-offs, strong recoveries, and geopolitical shocks. Through it all, our disciplined, active approach has once again demonstrated its value, allowing us to protect capital, capitalize on dislocations, and enhance overall portfolio performance. \u00a0. Quarter in Review [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":106,"featured_media":1027,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-portfolio-commentary"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Q2 2025 Portfolio Commentary - Stonehaven Private Counsel<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stonehavenprivatecounsel\/q2-2025-portfolio-commentary\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Q2 2025 Portfolio Commentary - Stonehaven Private Counsel\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The second quarter of 2025 proved to be one of the more volatile in recent memory, marked by swift sell-offs, strong recoveries, and geopolitical shocks. Through it all, our disciplined, active approach has once again demonstrated its value, allowing us to protect capital, capitalize on dislocations, and enhance overall portfolio performance. \u00a0. 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