{"id":999,"date":"2019-10-23T21:36:10","date_gmt":"2019-10-23T21:36:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stuchberry1\/?p=999"},"modified":"2020-05-11T16:00:23","modified_gmt":"2020-05-11T16:00:23","slug":"financials-could-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/stuchberrygroup\/blog\/2019\/10\/23\/financials-could-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Financials Could Breakout?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"999\" class=\"elementor elementor-999\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b15d09a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"b15d09a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-50ffefd\" data-id=\"50ffefd\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cbd2d25 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"cbd2d25\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Ladies and gentlemen,<\/p><p>We noticed something very interesting occurring in the markets and, if it does work our way, it could take the lagging sector we have been investing in and turn it into leaders.\u00a0 As 2019 started and our call on higher interest rates ceased, the financial sector weakened immediately.\u00a0 This sector has lagged the market all year and interestingly, despite the cuts in interest rates, the financials have gained back what they lost and they appear poised to move higher.<\/p><p>This chart shows that even as interest rates and bond yields (white line) have fallen and banks have seen net interest margins decline, the stocks (financial index) have recovered their losses and look strong going into year-end.<\/p><p>This is potentially due to the strong consumer and economy.<\/p><p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1910\" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB1-1024x496.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB1-1024x496.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB1-300x145.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB1-768x372.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB1.png 1430w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"496\" \/><\/p><p>Looking at the S&amp;P TSX Financial index, we are inches from breaking out to all-time highs. The earnings are not expected to be weak to end in 2019, so we are optimistic that they may move higher.<\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1911\" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB2-1024x439.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB2-1024x439.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB2-300x129.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB2-768x329.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB2.png 1431w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"439\" \/><\/p><p>When we look at the financials, the green line indicates the price to earnings over the last 5 years due to interest rate changes.\u00a0 As the graph shows, it is trading more than 30% below the high and at much lower valuations than one year ago.\u00a0 As such, we believe that they are potentially undervalued and close to a price breakout.<\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1912\" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB3-1024x496.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB3-1024x496.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB3-300x145.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB3-768x372.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB3.png 1433w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"496\" \/><\/p><p>The US banks are also a hair away from breaking out to all-time highs.<\/p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1913\" src=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB4-1024x437.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB4-1024x437.png 1024w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB4-300x128.png 300w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB4-768x328.png 768w, https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/thestuchberrygroup\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/8\/2019\/10\/FCB4.png 1431w\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"437\" \/><\/p><p>If this does occur and the Financials do break out to new highs, we could see a shift in leadership in the markets from the Tech companies to the Financials.\u00a0 It is too early to tell, but this is good news if it does occur as investors are very worried about a potential recession and are shifting to defensive positions.<\/p><p>This is good market action and a possible signal that we may go higher over the short term.\u00a0 Remember, the fundamentals of Bank of America were very good and, at present, there isn\u2019t a big reason for them to decline.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ladies and gentlemen, We noticed something very interesting occurring in the markets and, if it does work our way, it could take the lagging sector we have been investing in and turn it into leaders.\u00a0 As 2019 started and our call on higher interest rates ceased, the financial sector weakened immediately.\u00a0 This sector has lagged [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":1000,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-999","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-update"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Financials Could Breakout? 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