{"id":1299,"date":"2023-10-05T19:14:11","date_gmt":"2023-10-05T19:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/wagner\/?p=1299"},"modified":"2023-10-11T14:19:53","modified_gmt":"2023-10-11T14:19:53","slug":"last-month-in-the-markets-equities-retrace-in-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/wagner\/2023\/10\/05\/last-month-in-the-markets-equities-retrace-in-september\/","title":{"rendered":"Last Month In The Markets \u2013 Equities Retrace In September"},"content":{"rendered":"

Last Month in the Markets: September 1st \u2013 29th, 2023<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\"Last<\/p>\n

What happened in September?<\/strong><\/span>
\nIt was a difficult month for most investors as equities, the Canadian dollar and gold all lost value. The rising price of oil may have reduced the losses for the TSX, however a loss of more than 3\u00bd% for the month did not deliver the desired results.<\/p>\n

\"Equities<\/p>\n

August had, essentially, five weeks of trading last month, but September was a shorter month with a holiday in both Canada and the U.S. and the timing of weekends seemed significantly shorter. However, the return to business following the end of summer produced several developments for investors.<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Employment trended upward in health care, leisure and hospitality, social assistance, and\u00a0September 1st<\/span>
    \nThe month began with the release of the U.S. employment report that showed 187,000 nonfarm payroll jobs had been added in August, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.8%.\u00a0construction, and declined in transportation and warehousing. BLS release<\/a><\/li>\n
  2. September 6th<\/strong>
    \nAt its latest interest rate decision, \u201cThe bank of Canada (today) held its target for the overnight rate at 5%, with the Bank Rate at 5 \u00bc% and the deposit rate at 5%. The Bank is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening.\u201d Considerations included the moderating of inflation in advanced economies, while remaining above goal, slowing global growth, led by China, and robust consumer spending in the U.S.     Bank of Canada announcement<\/a><\/li>\n
  3. September 13th<\/strong>
    \nU.S. CPI rose 0.6% in August, after rising only 0.2% in July. \u201cOver the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 3.7 percent before seasonal adjustment\u201d according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, rose more than expected at 0.3% for the month.     CNBC and August inflation<\/a> BLS release<\/a> CNN and August inflation<\/a><\/li>\n
  4. September 14th<\/strong>
    \nThe European Central Bank (ECB) increased its three key lending rates by 25 basis points. North American AND European equity indexes jumped-up on the news, and the Europeans leapt higher on a percentage basis (screen shot).     Monetary Policy Decisions<\/a><\/li>\n
  5. September 15th<\/strong>
    \nThe United Auto Workers (UAW) began a strike against the Big 3 U.S. car manufacturers for the first time walking out at all of them simultaneously. At the end of the month the UAW expanded its strike action further as the rhetoric from both sides continued.     APNews and UAW strike<\/a><\/li>\n
  6. September 20th<\/strong>
    \nAt the latest monetary policy announcement from the U.S. Federal Reserve, Chair Powell stated, \u201cRecent indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace\u201d. He noted that job gains have slowed in recent months but remain strong, the unemployment rate has remained low, and inflation remains elevated. Consequently, the federal funds rate was maintained at a range of 5\u00bc to 5\u00bd percent.     Federal Reserve announcement and press conference<\/a><\/li>\n
  7. September 29th<\/strong>
    \nReleased this past Friday was the U.S. Federal Reserve\u2019s primary inflation indicator, Personal Consumption and Expenditures Price Index. In August prices rose by 0.4% (down from 0.9% in July) in aggregate; excluding more volatile food and energy saw the index rise by 0.1%. This was the smallest monthly increase since November 2020. The core PCE level is down from 4.3% in July and is at its lowest level in nearly two years. These levels were slightly below expectations, and the year-over-year annual increase for core PCE was 3.9%, which matched the forecasts.
    \nThe continuing improvements in the battle against inflation suggests that the Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate increases.     BEA’s PCE release<\/a> CNBC and PCE<\/a><\/li>\n
  8. September 30th<\/strong>
    \nThe trading week had ended before a deal was reached in the House of Representatives on Saturday evening, just prior to Sunday\u2019s 12:01 am deadline. It is a stop-gap measure that extends spending for an additional 45 days after it is expedited and approved in the Senate and signed by President Biden.     CNBC and “shutdown”<\/a> CNN and “shutdown”<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    What\u2019s ahead for October and beyond in 2023?<\/strong><\/span>
    \nAfter avoiding a U.S. government shutdown, two important interest rate announcements from the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve will occur on October 25th and November 1st, respectively. The threat of a U.S. government shutdown in mid-November may be repeated unless a full spending bill is passed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Last Month in the Markets: September 1st \u2013 29th, 2023 What happened in September? It was a difficult month for most investors as equities, the Canadian dollar and gold all lost value. The rising price of oil may have reduced the losses for the TSX, however a loss of more than 3\u00bd% for the month […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":155,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1299","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights"],"yoast_head":"\nLast Month In The Markets \u2013 Equities Retrace In September - Wagner Investment Management Team<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/wagner\/2023\/10\/05\/last-month-in-the-markets-equities-retrace-in-september\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Last Month In The Markets \u2013 Equities Retrace In September - Wagner Investment Management Team\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Last Month in the Markets: September 1st \u2013 29th, 2023 What happened in September? 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