{"id":804,"date":"2022-10-31T20:24:51","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T20:24:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/wagner\/?p=804"},"modified":"2024-05-10T17:19:17","modified_gmt":"2024-05-10T17:19:17","slug":"last-month-in-the-markets-two-tales-of-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/wagner\/2022\/10\/31\/last-month-in-the-markets-two-tales-of-october\/","title":{"rendered":"Last Month in the Markets \u2013 Two Tales of October"},"content":{"rendered":"

Click\u00a0here<\/a>\u00a0to read the article<\/p>\n

Last Month in the Markets \u2013 October 3rd \u2013 31st, 2022<\/h3>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

What happened in October?<\/strong><\/h3>\n

The beginning of the month was uneven for equity investors. After rising-and-falling, the major North American indexes, repeated their rise-and-fall again by mid-month. The more broad-based indexes, the TSX and S&P 500, were flat after these ups-and-downs, while the Dow and NASDAQ had lost 3.2% and 2.4%, respectively.
\nSince the close of markets on October 14th, the trend has been steadily upward with the equity indexes gaining between 4% and 14% during the month.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Several factors influenced equity prices during the first half of the month, until more consistently favourable conditions arrived as the month continued to its conclusion on Halloween:
\n1. Strong U.S. jobs growth and lowering unemployment rate fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue raising interest rates. CNBC<\/a> BLS source<\/a> CNN<\/a>
\n2. U.S. consumer and producer inflation figures immediately drove equity indexes downward when released. Increasing inflation, the size of the increase, and the continued high levels are compelling the Federal Reserve to act further with tighter monetary policy. CPI source<\/a> PPI source<\/a>
\n3. Canadian consumer inflation decreased slightly from 7.0% in August to 6.9% in September on a year-over-year basis. Statscan source<\/a><\/p>\n

4. There is growing sentiment that the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada are getting closer to the end of their rate-hiking cycle. The need to \u201cfront load\u201d rate-increases, raising rates early to cause an effect sooner, is believed to reduce the overall negative effects by ending high inflation sooner. Rate slowdown source<\/a> Slowing rate hikes<\/a><\/p>\n

The factors affecting markets most will continue to be interest rates and inflation well into 2023.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s ahead for November and beyond?<\/h3>\n

The moves by central banks to limit inflation and reverse its growth will continue for the foreseeable future. The Bank of Canada announces monetary policy on December 7th, January 25th and March 8th, and the Federal Reserve\u2019s FOMC is scheduled to deliver interest rate announcements on November 2nd, December 14th, February 1st, and March 22nd. The speculation prior to each of these announcements will be active, and both the speculation and the actual monetary policy moves will cause markets to move.<\/p>\n

The key influences on whether rates will continue to rise, stabilize and, eventually, fall are the rate of inflation, employment and wages, and economic output. Following these underlying indicators, and analyst expectations of them, could provide insight regarding monetary policy for investors.<\/p>\n

A proven long-term defence during periods of uncertainty is to select investments that match your overall strategy and continuously monitor them and adjust accordingly. For example, some industries are more reliant on shorter-term credit and will experience the increased expense of rising interest rates sooner. Utilizing unreliable or inexperienced sources, moving outside your risk tolerance, or into investments you do not understand can quickly undermine the discipline that has built your retirement nest egg.<\/p>\n

Immediately preceding the Federal Reserve\u2019s interest rate announcement on November 2nd, the belief is that interest rates will peak in the first quarter of 2023. The Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve will have three or four opportunities, respectively, to raise rates before the first quarter of next year ends.<\/p>\n

The follow-on effects of higher interest rates potentially pushing the economy into recession, which drives corporate performance and share prices downward, are the chain-of-events that will continue to concern investors.<\/p>\n


\nWagner Investment Management Team contributors: Susyn Wagner & Karen Routledge <\/b><\/span>
\n
\nThe information contained herein has been provided for information purposes only. The information has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable. Graphs, charts and other numbers are used for illustrative purposes only and do not reflect future values or future performance of any investment. The information does not provide financial, legal, tax or investment advice. Particular investment, tax, or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to each individual\u2019s objectives and risk tolerance. This does not constitute a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this document. Wellington-Altus Private Wealth Inc. (WAPW) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, nor does WAPW assume any liability for any loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions. Before acting on any of the above, please contact your financial advisor. \u00a9 2022, Wellington-Altus Private Wealth Inc. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. NO USE OR REPRODUCTION WITHOUT PERMISSION.<\/span>
\nwww.wellington-altus.ca<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The beginning of the month was uneven for equity investors. After rising-and-falling, the major North American indexes, repeated their rise-and-fall again by mid-month. The more broad-based indexes, the TSX and S&P 500, were flat after these ups-and-downs, while the Dow and NASDAQ had lost 3.2% and 2.4%, respectively.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":155,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-insights"],"yoast_head":"\nLast Month in the Markets \u2013 Two Tales of October - Wagner Investment Management Team<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/advisor.wellington-altus.ca\/wagner\/2022\/10\/31\/last-month-in-the-markets-two-tales-of-october\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Last Month in the Markets \u2013 Two Tales of October - Wagner Investment Management Team\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The beginning of the month was uneven for equity investors. 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