July Market Insights: The Fed & Its Use of Economic Coercion
This is Not Coin-Flip Policymaking Download this article as a PDF. “Every theory is a self-fulfilling prophecy that orders experience into the framework it provides.” — Ruth Hubbard The old saying “don’t fight the Fed” has been a golden rule in investing that has served investors well for many decades. Yet, today, confidence in the […]
June Market Insights: The Fed, From Tragedy to Rebirth?
Just Follow the Path of the Credit Markets Download this article as a PDF. “Always make the audience suffer as much as possible.” — Alfred Hitchcock Alfred Hitchcock once suggested that drama is life with the dull parts cut out. Given the state of the financial markets, this has never been more relevant than it […]
May Market Insights: A Secret War to Control the Fed?
The Danger of Bowing to Political Pressure Download this article as a PDF. “You are what your record says you are.” — Bill Parcells Author Michael Lewis reminds us of the consequences that can emerge when independent bodies succumb to political pressure. In his latest book, The Premonition, he suggests that the politicization of the […]
April Market Insights: Detonating a Tactical Financial Nuclear Weapon
Sowing the Seeds of a New Financial World Order? Download this article as a PDF. “With proper tactics, nuclear war need not be as destructive as it appears.” – Dr. Henry A. Kissinger The Ukraine/Russia crisis has highlighted a historic moment in the evolution of geopolitical balance. While the humanitarian perspective cannot be overlooked — […]
March Market Insights: Peak Inflation, Saved by Inertia?
Peak Inflation: Saved by Inertia? Download this article as a PDF. “Where have you gone, Joe DiMaggio?” – Simon & Garfunkel Given the continuing calls by market pundits for 50 basis point (bps) inter-meeting rate hikes — even while the Fed balance sheet is still expanding — or seven rate hikes in 2022 — despite slowing […]
February Market Insights: Is the Federal Reserve Losing its Independence?
Is the Federal Reserve Losing its Independence? Download this article as a PDF. “Grin and bear it.” – Alan Greenspan to Janet Yellen, 2016. When U.S. presidential nominee Donald Trump accused the Federal Reserve of political bias in 2016, then-Chair Janet Yellen was given some advice: “Grin and bear it.” Indeed, there is a demarcation line […]
January Market Insights: The Year of the Fed
The Maradona & Cantillon Effects: 2022 — The Year of The Fed! Download this article as a PDF. “I am Maradona, who makes goals, who makes mistakes I can take it all, I have shoulders big enough to fight with everybody.” – Diego Maradona Often referred to as the “goal of the century,” Diego Maradona, an […]