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New Podcast Episode: Price Dynamics of Gold

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Adam and Petar just released a new episode of The Investment Playbook, and it’s one of the most timely conversations we’ve had yet. With the Strait of Hormuz closed and gold making headlines, we wanted to break down what’s really happening and why it matters for your portfolio.

In this episode, we cover:

  • Why central banks are buying gold. Late last year, gold overtook U.S. Treasuries as the primary foreign central bank reserve asset for the first time in decades, and by all indications, we’re still in the early innings of this shift.

 

  • The numbers might surprise you. Since 2000, gold has returned roughly 1,400% versus about 730% for the S&P 500 with dividends included. We walk through the charts and explain why timeframes matter so much in this comparison.

 

  • Gold as portfolio insurance. This is the heart of why we hold gold for our clients: it lowers portfolio volatility, improves risk-adjusted returns, and guards against both deflationary and inflationary shocks. It’s not speculation, it’s insurance.

 

  • The Strait of Hormuz and the dollar shortage. We connect the dots between the conflict in the Middle East, the UAE’s departure from OPEC, its new swap line with the U.S. Federal Reserve, and why gold pulled back this year even as the long-term case strengthened. Understanding why reserve assets get sold in a crisis is key to understanding why they’re accumulated in the first place.

 

  • Where gold could go from here. Major U.S. banks are now floating targets in the high $5,000s to low $6,000s—and we discuss what history suggests about how these multi-year cycles tend to play out.

 

  • We also touch on what we believe will define the next decade of investing: in an era of artificial intelligence and surging power demand, the lowest-cost, most reliable energy producer wins and that’s a tremendous opportunity for Canada.

 

 

 

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If these insights resonate with you, hit that share button! Forward this to a friend, colleague, or family member who could use a dose of financial wisdom. Stay tuned for more episodes packed with strategies to keep you ahead of the curve.

 

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The opinions contained herein are the opinions of the author and readers should not assume they reflect the opinions or recommendations of Wellington-Altus Private Wealth. Assumptions, opinions and information constitute the author’s judgement as of the date this material and subject to change without notice. We do not warrant the completeness or accuracy of this material, and it should not be relied upon as such. Before acting on any recommendation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Graphs and charts are used for illustrative purposes only and do not reflect future values or future performance of any investment. The information does not provide financial, legal, tax or investment advice. Particular investment, tax, or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to each individual’s objectives and risk tolerance. All third party products and services referred to or advertised in this presentation are sold by the company or organization named. While these products or services may serve as valuable aids to the independent investor, WAPW does not specifically endorse any of these products or services. The third party products and services referred to, or advertised in this presentation, are available as a convenience to its customers only, and WAPW is not liable for any claims, losses or damages however arising out of any purchase or use of third party products or services. All insurance products and services are offered by life licensed advisors of Wellington-Altus.

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