September Market Insights: The Fed’s High-Wire Act
Discretion is the Better Part of Valour “We are navigating by the stars under cloudy skies.” – Chairman Jerome H. Powell, August 25, 2023 Download this PDF here. The adage, “Discretion is the better part of valour,” has never been more pertinent as the U.S. Federal Reserve cautiously navigates between the perils of inflation and […]
August Market Insights: Unveiling The Crystal Ball
A Glimpse Into The Future Of Financial Markets From 2024 To 2030 Download this PDF here. In early 2021, I presented a thesis regarding the latest inflation episode and its potential economic implications. At that time, I shared a perspective that differed from the prevailing narrative. Allow me to recapitulate my viewpoint. I argued that […]
Wall Street Is About To Embrace Crypto, And It’s Not What You Think!
A New Era Is Upon Us Download this PDF here. “Nothing is more powerful than an idea whose time has come.” – Victor Hugo There is an old saying, “never let a good crisis go to waste.” And true to form, Wall Street is capitalizing on the current chaos within the digital asset space. Many […]
June Market Insights: Is AI The Next Goldrush?
Terminator vs. R2-D2. Hollywood and Artificial Intelligence (AI): The Emotional Scars Are With Us Today. In the movie Terminator, a dystopian society is under attack by artificially intelligent robots that are hell bent on the destruction of the human species. Skynet is the ultimate doomsday machine, a self-aware AI that decides to eradicate humanity to protect itself.
May Market Insights: The FTX Fiasco Has Nothing To Do With Blockchain Adoption.
Huckleberry Finn Is Not Tom Sawyer. Download this PDF here. “Corruption, embezzlement, fraud, these are all characteristics which exist everywhere.” — Alan Greenspan When one thinks of blockchain, one quickly thinks of Bitcoin, NFTs, and cryptocurrencies. Just as so many confuse Mark Twain’s Huckleberry Finn with Tom Sawyer, to the point where the rock band […]
April Market Insights: It Looks Like This Holy Fool Was Right, What Now?
Download this PDF here. “The holy fool is a truth-teller because he is an outcast. Those not part of the existing social hierarchy are free to blurt out inconvenient truths or question things the rest of us take for granted.” – Malcolm Gladwell in Talking to Strangers Since 2020, I’ve been one of the few […]
March Market Insights: Fire And Ice: The Fight Between Inflation and Deflation
What’s a More Significant Risk, Inflation or Deflation? Download this PDF here. “Some say the world will end in fire, some say ice. From what I’ve tasted of desire, I hold with those who favor fire. But if it had to perish twice, I think I know enough of hate to know that for destruction, […]
February Market Insights: Apocalypse Delayed – The U.S. Debt-Ceiling Debate
What if the U.S. Government Defaults on its Debt? Download this PDF here. “It’s never paid to bet against America.” – Warren Buffet If the U.S. was to default on its debt obligations, it would cause investors to flee from U.S. Treasuries, leading to a decrease in confidence in U.S. government debt and the U.S. […]
January Market Insights: The 2023 Market Forecast – The Pause that Refreshes
Throughout 2022, I differed from the consensus on what caused the inflation spike. The conventional view was that wages and aggregate demand of the private sector were the main culprits. I disagreed. My thesis was that the twin supply shocks of COVID-19 and the war, along with the extreme fiscal policy response, caused inflation. I adamantly disagree with the false premise that the inflation we experienced was akin to the 1970’s inflation spike.
November Market Insights: Trump, Gridlock And What It Means For Investors In 2023
After the 1994 midterm elections, gridlock was confirmed and inflation fears subsided. The next year, the Fed cut rates, and risk assets appreciated. The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data points to 2023 reversing the inflation shock, interest rate shock, and growing fears of 2022.