Catalyst Wealth Summer 2025 Newsletter

The Illusion of Speed

It has been said that “there are decades where nothing seems to happen, and there are weeks where decades happen.” The sweeping global tariffs,announced by the U.S. on April’s “Liberation Day,” caught the world off guard—disrupting longheld norms in global trade and world order. This may signal the beginning of a new chapter—one where political disruption, rapidly shifting policies and the velocity of digital information collide.

We’ve seen a wave of financial market volatility triggered by how rapidly these changes were communicated—and perceived. In today’s hyper-connected world, the pace of modern life has never been faster. That same urgency has seeped into the way we make decisions.

Technology underpins this behavioural shift. The average investor now holds a stock for just months—down dramatically from the multi-year horizons of previous generations.1 A recent study found that many retail investors spend less time researching a stock than they do reading a restaurant menu.2 The result? Decisions are driven more by momentum and emotion than thoughtful, long-term planning.

Markets, too, have become increasingly reflexive. April’s rapid selloff, followed by the swift recovery in May, shows how quickly sentiment can shift. Similarly, the U.S. administration’s approach has been characterized by rapid disruption, with
some describing it as a “move fast and break things” approach.3 The speed at which new policies are introduced amplifies the perception of urgency—even when outcomes remain uncertain, or when policies may later be changed—or even reversed.

Yet amid this policy whiplash, a shift may be taking place: a move away from globalization toward greater national protectionism, security and economic self-sufficiency. This pivot has raised deeper questions about the role of the U.S. as the dominant superpower. During April’s volatility, a sharp selloff in U.S. Treasurys raised concerns—particularly as China, which holds about one-sixth of all foreign-owned U.S.Treasurys, has been increasing its gold reserves. Subdued demand for the U.S. dollar—once the default safe haven—has prompted questions about its future as the global reserve currency.Since the start of the year, its value has fallen by around 9 percent4—a rare and significant drop.Questions about waning confidence in U.S. global leadership have emerged. To paraphrase one analyst: “You can’t antagonize and influence at the same time.”

This environment should serve as a reminder:speed does not always equate to change. The illusion of speed—fueled by technology and policy turbulence—can distort our sense of urgency and lead us to chase headlines rather than stay grounded in fundamentals. It’s a dynamic that can leave investors vulnerable to short-term noise. Investing, at its core, rewards patience.

While the events of April may already feel like a distant memory, it’s understandable that the market movements were unsettling for many.If you have friends or family who could benefit from our approach, we would be happy to offer support. We’ve navigated these challenging times before and continue to provide value through a disciplined process.

After a spring marked by ‘weeks where decades seemed to happen,’ may your summer days be filled with many slow and relaxing moments.

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IN THIS ISSUE

Supporting a Home Purchase? Five Questions to Ask – p.2
A Credit Downgrade: What’s in a Rating? – p.2
Planning a Tax-Efficient Withdrawal Strategy – p.3
The Merits of Hanging in (& Why April Felt So Bad) – p.3
OAS Timing Matters — Even for High-Net-Worth Investors – p.4

Recent Posts

Investment Insight – Summer 2026

One of the recurring challenges in writing our quarterly commentary is that by the time it reaches publication, parts already feel dated. This feels especially pronounced today as the pace of change appears to be accelerating.

After the S&P 500 declined by roughly 10 percent by the end of March, it took just 11 trading sessions to fully recover — among the fastest recoveries on record. As one market observer noted, “for situation monitors, the whiplash is a thing to behold…for everyone else, they may not have even noticed.” More notable was the speed at which the narrative reversed. By late March, many big-tech valuations appeared more fairly valued; by late April, they again appeared stretched.

The increasing frequency of such rapid shifts raises a broader question: Does this reflect a changing market regime?

Part of the explanation may lie in how the investing landscape itself has evolved over recent decades. Information is now disseminated globally in seconds. Combined with trading automation and declining transaction costs, this has contributed to a significant increase in market activity. In the  late 1980s, the New York Stock Exchange averaged around 500 million shares traded daily; by 2020, this figure had doubled to over one billion.1

Participation has also become democratized. Building a diversified portfolio once required meaningful capital. Today, internet access and low-cost, diversified products have lowered barriers to entry. In 1990, equity and investment fund units represented just six percent of Canadian household assets. In 2025, they accounted for over 25 percent.2 This has also influenced investor behaviour. The average holding period for a stock, once
spanning years, is now measured in months.

Read More »

July Market Insights: Trump’s Meta Game, Pax Americana, and the AI Age

In politics and markets, the decisive contest is often the one being played above the visible struggle. Elections, earnings and summit communiqués are the surface game—the real action lies in the metagame, the contest over rules, incentives and narratives that shape outcomes long after today’s skirmishes are forgotten.

Henry Kissinger, American diplomat and political scientist, warned that most statesmen get lost in the “manifestations of events”—daily crises, tactical choices and headlines—and fail to read the deeper “trend of events” that gives those crises meaning. Investors make the same mistake when they trade every move in yields or volatility but never ask which regime those data points are compounding into over a five‑ or ten‑year horizon.

German‑American entrepreneur Peter Thiel’s line that “competition is for losers” captures the business version of the same instinct. The point is not to fight hardest inside the old game, but to see how the game itself is changing and reposition before everyone else.

Read More »

June Market Insights: America at 250

merica reaches its 250th anniversary not as a fallen hegemon, but as the dominant centre of global hard power, monetary power, and frontier innovation. It still sits astride the world’s resource base through energy, agriculture, and continental depth; it still issues the reserve currency at the core of global trade and finance; and it still leads the race to build artificial intelligence (AI) as the next digital platform. Yet precisely because American power remains so large, the visible breakdown of the post–Second World War rules-based order has become impossible to ignore. To anyone who has read German historian and philosopher Oswald Spengler’s The Decline of the West (1918), this is not a surprise but a pattern: history is not a straight line of progress. Instead, it is the record of civilizations that rise as living cultures harden into systems and eventually exhaust the moral energy that made them great in the first place. America did not choose this time, but it has been born into it.

Read More »

May Market Insights: Mastery and the Terror Premium

Mastery of energy, again

Winston Churchill, as first lord of the Admiralty, tied Britain’s fate to Persian oil. United States President Donald Trump’s war in Iran, centred on Operation Epic Fury, could do the same for the West by removing Iran’s nuclear shadow, resetting oil toward US$60, and finally unlocking a modern peace dividend.

“Mastery itself was the prize of the venture.” Winston Churchill’s 1912–13 case for converting the Royal Navy from coal to oil—enshrined in historian Daniel Yergin’s The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power captured the brutal clarity of a great power energy strategy: accept dependence to command the seas. That wager framed the last century. In 2026, as Epic Fury grinds through the Gulf and Brent trades above US$100, the question is no longer whether oil confers mastery, but who holds it: a revolutionary theocracy astride the Strait of Hormuz, or a West intent on stripping the terror and nuclear risk now priced into every barrel out of the energy system—finally collecting a long‑deferred peace dividend.

Read More »

Highlights from the 2026 Spring Economic Update

On April 28, 2026, Finance and National Revenue Minister François-Philippe Champagne released the 2026
Spring Economic Update (the Update). This was the first spring economic update after the federal budget was
moved to the fall in 2025. In the absence of a federal budget earlier this year and with the recent shift to a
majority government, Canadians have been awaiting clear direction on the federal government’s policy
focus and anticipated initiatives. Overall, the Update introduces relatively little that had not been previously
announced, while showing an improved fiscal outlook, with the projected deficit declining despite $37.5 billion
in net new spending.

Read More »

The information contained herein has been provided for information purposes only. The information has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable. Graphs, charts and other numbers are used for illustrative purposes only and do not reflect future values or future performance of any investment. The information does not provide financial, legal, tax or investment advice. Particular investment, tax, or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to each individual’s objectives and risk tolerance. This does not constitute a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell securities of any kind. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this document.  Wellington-Altus Private Wealth Inc. (WAPW) does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, nor does WAPW assume any liability for any loss that may result from the reliance by any person upon any such information or opinions.  Before acting on any of the above, please contact your financial advisor.

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