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quarterly commentary

Quarterly Investment Insight – Fall

How do you view the glass — half full or half empty? This question aptly captures the dual nature of sentiment today. On one hand, our standard of living is among the highest in history, fuelled by technological advances, improved quality of life, substantial and growing wealth and increased life expectancy. On the other hand, this progress is overshadowed by rising costs of living, heavy debt burdens, declining productivity and ongoing geopolitical tensions.

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September Market Insights: Trump’s Trade War

Tales of empires are as old as civilization itself. From ancient Mesopotamia to Rome, from the Mongols to the British, history is replete with stories of great powers that rose to dominate vast swaths of territory, only to eventually crumble under the weight of their ambitions. The United States of America, as the preeminent global superpower of the modern era, finds itself at a critical juncture in this age-old narrative.

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Market Insights August

August Market Insights: Trump’s Fiscal Frenzy

Godfather of Modern Monetary Theory Warns of “Drunken Sailor” Spending “Neither a borrower nor a lender be; For loan oft loses both itself and friend, and borrowing dulls the edge of husbandry.” – William Shakespeare, Hamlet Download this PDF here. At this very moment, the U.S. faces a fiscal predicament

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Market-Insights_July-2024

July Market Insights: Navigating The Dual Revolutions

Mark Twain once delivered a sobering reminder of humanity’s tendency to disregard transformative ideas while allowing misconceptions to persist. As we stand on the precipice of two seismic shifts—the AI revolution and an impending fiscal storm—his words resonate profoundly.

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Melnyk Q324

Quarterly Investment Insight – Summer

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow) crossed a new high of 40,000 in May, it achieved a milestone that appeared implausible given recent popular sentiment. Just two years earlier, central banks were still on the path of aggressively hiking rates to curb inflation. Gloomy equity market forecasts abounded. Fast forward to today, and interest rates remain higher than anticipated. Many valuation models use interest rates to discount future cash flows: higher rates lower a company’s future earnings and put downward pressure on stock prices.

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