The Interest Rate Cut Mirage

For many months now, the prospect of lower interest rates has been shimmering like a mirage on the economic highway. And as mirages work, the closer we get to an interest rate inflection point, the timeline gets pushed further into the future. The seeming inability of high interest rates to crush inflation and slow the […]

It’s a Marathon Not a Sprint

As 2023 dawned, the consensus of economist forecasts pointed to an elevated risk of recession sometime during the year. After all, central bank interest rates had risen dramatically from virtually zero in early 2022 to 4.25% in Canada and 4.5% in the U.S. by the end of 2022. Consumer price inflation peaked in June 2022 […]

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