Market Commentary

Join the mailing list here December was another strong month for stocks, propelling U.S. indices and many companies to new all-time highs, as we expected. The “breadth thrusts” we noted last month amplified into extreme buying pressure, with over 90% of S&P 500 stocks closing above their 50-day average price by

Join the mailing list here After some months of disappointing returns, the much-awaited spark in equities finally ignited this November, resulting in substantial gains across the model portfolios. The performance measured from October 31, 2023 to November 27, 2023 is as follows: Growth Portfolio up 16.7% Income Portfolio up 7.7% American Growth up

Join the mailing list here The year-end stock market rally we’ve all been eagerly anticipating may have experienced a brief delay in October, but rest assured, it’s far from ruled out. Stock indices dipped over the past month, yet the long-term uptrend remains firmly intact. We are still on the

Join the mailing list here While markets declined in September, they remain in a strong uptrend by our estimates. Major indices, including the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, revisited pivotal lows we mentioned in last month’s note, yet they did not substantially breach these levels. In our view, this sets

Join the mailing list here August lived up to its reputation as being one of the weaker months for stocks. Although we relinquished some recent gains, the market remains in a strong uptrend by our estimates. Many of the indicators we track suggest a pivotal mid-year low occurred in August.

Join the mailing list here July proved to be another strong month for the stock market, as stocks continued their upward trajectory, with the S&P 500 Index now standing just 5% below its all-time highs. The market’s performance has been particularly encouraging, as what initially began as a rally in

Join the mailing list here We are pleased to report that U.S. markets reached new annual highs in June, with the S&P 500 index edging closer to its all-time highs, just 11% away. Positive momentum in the markets is evident as pessimistic investors retreat, while the resilient economy thrives despite higher

Join the mailing list here U.S. markets showcased a continuing recovery in May, powered higher mostly by the performance of technology stocks. This trend aligns with our long-standing anticipation, as we’ve been steadily increasing exposure to the tech sector since late 2022. In our assessment, valuations are attractive considering the

Join the mailing list here April was a remarkably calm month … one of the few in recent memory. Stock indices continued their recovery higher as the VIX, a measure of stock volatility, hit new annual lows. After a tumultuous few years of a global pandemic, war, and inflation, the

Join the mailing list here Our portfolios finished lower in March*, as two Silicon Valley banks found themselves on the wrong side of an old-fashioned bank run, while a beleaguered Swiss bank finally closed after decades of missteps. Stocks reacted negatively to the news, but firmed up towards the end

Join the mailing list here Despite stocks finishing lower in February, incoming data continue to support our case for an emergent bull market. In late September our proprietary indicators showed an exhaustion in negative sentiment, signaling a bottom in stocks was at hand. In January we observed the typical signals

The model portfolios are off to a strong start in January, with Growth up 6.57%, Income up 1.81%, American Growth up 10.62% and Small Cap up 3.94% as of the date of writing, January 24. Incoming data continue to support our thesis that a new bull market in stocks is

Firstly, thank you to our clients for another good year. We appreciate our relationships with you and the trust you’ve placed in our team, Stonehaven Wealth Management, and our firm, Wellington-Altus Private Wealth. You’ve helped Wellington-Altus become the #1 Wealth Advisory Firm in Canada for the third year in a

I’m honoured to share that the Globe and Mail’s Report on Business Magazine and Shook Research named yours truly one of the top Wealth Advisors in Ontario. My partner here on the Stonehaven Team, Scott Harris, also made the list. In all, Wellington-Altus saw 24 Advisors ranked Best in Province

Stock indices made solid gains in October, but remain substantially lower for the year. While our model portfolios are also lower for the year, they continue to outperform their respective benchmarks. Losses are never a welcome event, however we feel quite relieved and thankful that we’ve mitigated much of this

Stock indices revisited their June lows toward the end of September. Usually when markets go through a bottoming process they revisit their initial lows within a month or two. In that light, September’s swoon looks entirely normal to us as the early stage of a market recovery. In a sign

This past month we were up across the board, with Growth up 0.3%, Income up 1.9%, American Growth up 4.1% and Small Cap up 4.5% as of August 25th. It’s been said that “markets climb a wall a worry” and emerging from the bear market of Spring 2022 has been

July saw much welcomed gains for stocks and bonds. As of the writing of this note on July 27th, Growth is up 2.9%, Income is up 2.0%, American Growth is up 0.3%, and Small Cap is down 4% for the month. We continue to be thankful for this and our

Stocks and bonds fell for the first half of June before rallying strongly into the end of the month. As of the writing of this note on June 28th, Growth is down 2.2% over the last year, Income is down 2.3%, American Growth is up 5.4%, and Small Cap is

Despite the ongoing volatility in stocks and bonds, each of the model portfolios remain in positive territory over the last year. We’re pleased with the results and look forward to what we believe will be a fruitful time for our investors in the year ahead. We view inflation concerns as

Our model portfolios saw gains as follows over the last year: Growth is up 10.7%, Income is up 5.6%, American Growth is up 10.6%, and Small Cap is up 16.3% as of the writing of this note. Public markets had some issues digesting inflation and rate hikes over the past

One must go on working silently, trusting the result to the future. – Vincent van Gogh The model portfolios saw gains in March, with Growth up 3.83%, American Growth up 4.49%, Income up 2.69% and Small Cap up 4.11%, as of the writing of this commentary. As we noted in

The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails. – William Arthur Ward Investing can be a case of three or four steps forward, one or two steps back — and so February was our step back. Markets were pressured lower in

Water does not resist. Water flows. – Margaret Atwood January saw some of the highest of high flying new-economy tech stocks finally grounded as concerns over interest rates and economic growth took center stage. As that pandemic-bubble burst, investors moved their capital into the relative safety of old-economy stocks, particularly